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Commercial casinos
U.S. commercial casino revenue is forecast to increase at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 0.7% through 2011.
Figure 43: Forecast of U.S. commercial casino revenue, at current and constant prices, 2006-11
Year | Sales at current prices | Sales at constant 2006 prices* | ||||
$million | Index | % change | $million | Index | % change | |
2006 (est.) | 32,330 | 100 | - | 32,330 | 100 | - |
2007 | 33,735 | 104 | 4.3 | 32,594 | 101 | 0.8 |
2008 | 35,212 | 109 | 4.4 | 32,871 | 102 | 0.8 |
2009 | 36,718 | 114 | 4.3 | 33,118 | 102 | 0.8 |
2010 | 38,186 | 118 | 4.0 | 33,277 | 103 | 0.5 |
2011 | 39,712 | 123 | 4.0 | 33,436 | 103 | 0.5 |
* Adjusted for inflation using the All Items CPI
SOURCE: Mintel
U.S. commercial casino revenue is predicted to increase 23% at current prices and to increase 3% at constant prices from 2006 to 2011. By comparison, from 2001 to 2006, U.S. commercial casino revenue increased by 26% at current prices and increased 10% at constant 2006 prices.
Tribal casinos
U.S. tribal casino revenue is forecast to increase at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 6.0% through 2011.
Figure 44: Forecast of U.S. tribal casino revenue, at current and constant prices, 2006-11
Year | Sales at current prices | Sales at constant 2006 prices* | ||||
$million | Index | % change | $million | Index | % change | |
2006 (est.) | 26,320 | 100 | - | 26,320 | 100 | - |
2007 | 29,226 | 111 | 11.0 | 28,238 | 107 | 7.3 |
2008 | 32,299 | 123 | 10.5 | 30,151 | 115 | 6.8 |
2009 | 35,464 | 135 | 9.8 | 31,986 | 122 | 6.1 |
2010 | 38,606 | 147 | 8.9 | 33,643 | 128 | 5.2 |
2011 | 41,901 | 159 | 8.5 | 35,280 | 134 | 4.9 |
* Adjusted for inflation using the All Items CPI
SOURCE: Mintel
U.S. tribal casino revenue is predicted to increase 59% at current prices and to increase 34% at constant prices from 2006 to 2011. By comparison, from 2001 to 2006, U.S. tribal casino revenue increased by 105% at current prices and increased 80% at constant 2006 prices.
Online casinos
U.S. online casino revenue is forecast to increase at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 9.9% through 2011.
Figure 45: Forecast of U.S. online casino revenue, at current and constant prices, 2006-11
Year | Sales at current prices | Sales at constant 2006 prices* | ||||
$million | Index | % change | $million | Index | % change | |
2006 (est.) | 15,153 | 100 | - | 15,153 | 100 | - |
2007 | 17,771 | 117 | 17.3 | 17,170 | 113 | 13.3 |
2008 | 20,525 | 135 | 15.5 | 19,160 | 126 | 11.6 |
2009 | 23,332 | 154 | 13.7 | 21,044 | 139 | 9.8 |
2010 | 26,068 | 172 | 11.7 | 22,717 | 150 | 7.9 |
2011 | 28,913 | 191 | 10.9 | 24,344 | 161 | 7.2 |
* Adjusted for inflation using the All Items CPI
SOURCE: Mintel
U.S. online casino revenue is predicted to increase 91% at current prices and to increase 61% at constant prices from 2006 to 2011. By comparison, from 2001 to 2006, U.S. online casino revenue increased by 391% at current prices and increased 330% at constant 2006 prices.
Racetrack casinos
U.S. racetrack casino revenue is forecast to increase at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 7.6% through 2011.
Figure 46: Forecast of U.S. racetrack casino revenue, at current and constant prices, 2006-11
Year | Sales at current prices | Sales at constant 2006 prices* | ||||
$million | Index | % change | $million | Index | % change | |
2006 (est.) | 3,400 | 100 | - | 3,400 | 100 | - |
2007 | 3,861 | 114 | 13.6 | 3,730 | 110 | 9.7 |
2008 | 4,323 | 127 | 12.0 | 4,036 | 119 | 8.2 |
2009 | 4,797 | 141 | 11.0 | 4,327 | 127 | 7.2 |
2010 | 5,293 | 156 | 10.3 | 4,613 | 136 | 6.6 |
2011 | 5,811 | 171 | 9.8 | 4,893 | 144 | 6.1 |
* Adjusted for inflation using the All Items CPI
SOURCE: Mintel
U.S. racetrack casino revenue is predicted to increase 71% at current prices and to increase 44% at constant prices from 2006 to 2011. By comparison, from 2001 to 2006, U.S. racetrack casino revenue increased by 94% at current prices and increased 70% at constant 2006 prices.
Card rooms
U.S. card room revenue is forecast to increase at an inflation-adjusted annual rate of 4.1% through 2011.
Figure 47: Forecast of U.S. card room revenue, at current and constant prices, 2006-11
Casino Room Deals
Year | Sales at current prices | Sales at constant 2006 prices* | ||||
$million | Index | % change | $million | Index | % change | |
2006 (est.) | 1,290 | 100 | - | 1,290 | 100 | - |
2007 | 1,402 | 109 | 8.7 | 1,355 | 105 | 5.0 |
2008 | 1,519 | 118 | 8.3 | 1,418 | 110 | 4.7 |
2009 | 1,639 | 127 | 7.9 | 1,478 | 115 | 4.3 |
2010 | 1,756 | 136 | 7.1 | 1,530 | 119 | 3.5 |
2011 | 1,877 | 146 | 6.9 | 1,580 | 123 | 3.3 |
* Adjusted for inflation using the All Items CPI
SOURCE: Mintel
U.S. card room revenue is predicted to increase 46% at current prices and to increase 23% at constant prices from 2006 to 2011. By comparison, from 2001 to 2006, U.S. card room revenue increased by 61% at current prices and increased 41% at constant 2006 prices.
Forecast factors
The forecast for U.S. casino and casino-style gambling revenue will be affected by changes in the following factors:
economic factors
competition from lotteries and other gambling
regulatory factors
international gambling factor
Casino and Casino-style Gambling - US - November 2006
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